Replication Data for: Anger Expressions and Coercive Credibility in International Crises

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Yoon, Hohyun, 2024, "Replication Data for: Anger Expressions and Coercive Credibility in International Crises", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/87TSER, Harvard Dataverse, V1
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Description
Why are some threats more credible than others? I argue that leaders’ anger expressions are a previously underappreciated source of coercive credibility. Specifically, leaders who express anger appear more credible because targets believe they are less sensitive to the costs of conflict. I test this argument through quantitative analysis of a novel dataset of world leaders’ public statement in crises from 1946-1996 and a U.S.-based survey experiment designed to test the mechanism. The observational evidence reveals that anger expressions increase the likelihood a threat will succeed. The experiment shows that anger expressions cause targets to infer greater resolve and that non-angry threats carry little credibility—and might even backfire. These findings not only shed light on a unique source of threat credibility but also highlight the crucial role of emotions in international relations with new data measuring political leaders’ emotional expressions over time and space. (2024-09-22)
Subject Social Sciences
Keyword credibility, threat, crisis bargaining, emotion, experiment, text data
Notes This dataset underwent an independent verification process, complying with the AJPS Verification Policy updated June 2023, which replicated the tables and figures in the primary article. For the supplementary materials, verification was performed solely for the successful execution of the code. The verification process was carried out by the Cornell Center for Social Sciences at Cornell University.

The associated article has been awarded the Open Materials Badge. Learn more about the Open Practice Badges from the Center for Open Science.

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