Replication Data for: Trains, Trade, and Transformation: A Spatial Rogowski Theory of America's 19th Century Protectionism

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Scheve, Kenneth; Serlin, Theo, 2024, "Replication Data for: Trains, Trade, and Transformation: A Spatial Rogowski Theory of America's 19th Century Protectionism", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/PLKWUL, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:mW5zZPV8FL1/beKD96urTQ== [fileUNF]
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Description
We study the effect of expanding trade on societal coalitions through its impact on development. We combine a majoritarian political model with a spatial model of trade to argue that trade-induced economic change---by bringing new workers to locations closer to world markets---can lead to losses rather than gains in political power for the factors of production advantaged by increased trade. We study how this phenomenon explains rising protectionism in the US from 1880 to 1900. Using county-level changes in transportation costs induced by railroad expansion, our estimates indicate that falling costs increased population and farm values but reduced the proportion of farmers. Reduced transportation costs caused a reduction in vote shares for the Democratic Party, which favored liberal trade policies, and an increase in an original newspaper-based measure of protectionist sentiment. Expanding trade alters not only political interests but also the geographic distribution of those interests. (2023-5-15)
Subject Social Sciences
Keyword Political economy, Spatial trade theory, Trade policy, Globalization, American political development
Related Publication Scheve, Kenneth, and Theo Serlin. [date]. “Trains, Trade, and Transformation: A Spatial Rogowski Theory of America's 19th Century Protectionism.” American Journal of Political Science Forthcoming. http://ajps.org/
Notes This dataset underwent an independent verification process that replicated the tables and figures in the primary article. For the supplementary materials, verification was performed solely for the successful execution of code. The verification process was carried out by the Odum Institute for Research in Social Science at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

The associated article has been awarded Open Materials Badge. Learn more about the Open Practice Badges from the Center for Open Science.

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