Replication data for: Does Third-Party Trade Reduce Conflict? Credible Signaling versus Opportunity Costs (doi:10.7910/DVN/23871)

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Document Description

Citation

Title:

Replication data for: Does Third-Party Trade Reduce Conflict? Credible Signaling versus Opportunity Costs

Identification Number:

doi:10.7910/DVN/23871

Distributor:

Harvard Dataverse

Date of Distribution:

2013-12-11

Version:

2

Bibliographic Citation:

Kinne, Brandon J, 2013, "Replication data for: Does Third-Party Trade Reduce Conflict? Credible Signaling versus Opportunity Costs", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/23871, Harvard Dataverse, V2

Study Description

Citation

Title:

Replication data for: Does Third-Party Trade Reduce Conflict? Credible Signaling versus Opportunity Costs

Identification Number:

doi:10.7910/DVN/23871

Authoring Entity:

Kinne, Brandon J (The University of Texas at Dallas)

Producer:

Kinne, Brandon J

Date of Production:

2014

Distributor:

Harvard Dataverse

Distributor:

Harvard Dataverse Network

Access Authority:

Kinne, Brandon J

Date of Deposit:

2013-12-11

Date of Distribution:

2014

Holdings Information:

https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/23871

Study Scope

Keywords:

militarized interstate disputes, social network analysis, third party intervention, international security, bargaining, information asymmetry, opportunity costs

Abstract:

The study of trade and conflict has largely focused on dyadic interdependence, or trade within discrete pairs of states. Yet, states may also be indirectly interdependent, by way of trade to third parties. This paper examines the influence of third-party trade on dyadic conflict initiation. I argue that certain structures of trade provide economically invested third parties with (1) an incentive to discourage dyadic conflict between a potential initiator and a potential target, and (2) the means to show disapproval of conflict by sending trade-based signals of resolve. The argument thus emphasizes the ability of third parties to introduce novel ex post information into bargaining dynamics, causing potential aggressors to reconsider their conflict strategies. Empirical analysis shows that, in fact, when a given dyad shares the sort of trade structures that enable costly signaling by third parties, the probability of conflict initiation declines substantially. In contrast, when third-party trade merely increases a potential initiator's opportunity costs for conflict, conflict behavior remains unchanged.

Methodology and Processing

Sources Statement

Data Access

Notes:

<a href="http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0">CC0 1.0</a>

Other Study Description Materials

Related Publications

Citation

Title:

Kinne, Brandon J. 2014. "Does Third-Party Trade Reduce Conflict? Credible Signaling versus Opportunity Costs," in Conflict Management and Peace Science 31(1).

Identification Number:

10.1177/0738894213501135

Bibliographic Citation:

Kinne, Brandon J. 2014. "Does Third-Party Trade Reduce Conflict? Credible Signaling versus Opportunity Costs," in Conflict Management and Peace Science 31(1).

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

CMPS-Replication.zip

Text:

Notes:

application/zip