Replication data for: Predicting the Duration of the Syrian Insurgency (doi:10.7910/DVN/26459)

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Part 1: Document Description
Part 2: Study Description
Part 3: Data Files Description
Part 4: Variable Description
Part 5: Other Study-Related Materials
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Replication data for: Predicting the Duration of the Syrian Insurgency

doi:10.7910/DVN/26459

Harvard Dataverse

2014-06-13

1

Pilster, Ulrich; Böhmelt, Tobias, 2014, "Replication data for: Predicting the Duration of the Syrian Insurgency", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/26459, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:5:LQnG9lgulYo8akkkOL5ueA== [fileUNF]

Replication data for: Predicting the Duration of the Syrian Insurgency

doi:10.7910/DVN/26459

Pilster, Ulrich (University of Essex)

Böhmelt, Tobias (University of Essex; ETH Zurich)

Harvard Dataverse

Harvard Dataverse Network

2014-06-08

2014-06-08

https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/26459

Replication material for "Predicting the Duration of the Syrian Insurgency."

<a href="http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0">CC0 1.0</a>

Predicting the Duration of the Syrian Insurgency

Predicting the Duration of the Syrian Insurgency

• Number of cases: 101

• No. of variables per record: 87

• Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

UNF:5:sT/fuyM1dUkeWXLZwuZK+Q==

• Number of cases: 102

• No. of variables per record: 123

• Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

UNF:5:0NYKad6L6eMhmMnMRYEKTw==

• ccode - Country ID
• war - War name
• year - Start year of war/conflict
• warid - Unique War ID Number
• startdate
• enddate
• yearbg - Year war began
• yearend - Year war concluded
• incumb - Incumbent Name
• insurg - Insurgent Name
• govecon - Economic support (intervention) for government
• support - External support
• cinc - CINC
• power - CINC (ln)
• heli - Use of helicopters
• eeurop - Eastern Europe
• strategy - Strategy order
• strategy_con - Conventional insurgency
• coldwar3 - Cold War
• ncontig - Non-contiguous state
• contraband - Contraband
• SoS_insurgency - SoS insurgency
• mech - Level of mechanization
• vec - Estimated number of motorized vehicles
• milper - Number of military personnel (thousands)
• milper_ln - Military personnel (ln)
• enerpc - Energy per capita
• lenerpc - ln(energy/population)
• tradegdp - Trade openness
• ltradegdp - ln(exports+imports as share of gdp)
• regime - Polity2 from PolityIV
• regime_sq - Polity2 (sq)
• democ - Democracy dummy
• anocracy - Anocracy dummy
• instab - Instability
• elev - Elevation (meters)
• ldis - Distance (ln)
• numlang - Number of languages spoken in conflict area
• numlang_sq - Number of languages (sq)
• lamerica - Latin America
• ssafrica - Sub-Sahara Africa
• asia - Asia
• nafrme - North Africa and Middle East
• lnlandar - Land area (ln)
• gdpen - GDP per capita
• lgdpenl1 - Log of lagged GDP per capita
• popl1 - Population
• lpopl1 - Population (log and lag)
• lmtnest - Mountain terrain (ln)
• Oil - > 1/3 export revenues from fuels
• ethfrac - Ethnic frac. based on Soviet Atlas
• ethfrac_sq - Ethnic frac. based on Soviet Atlas (sq)
• plural - Share of largest ethnic group
• second - Share of 2nd largest ethnic group
• relfrac - Religious fractionalization
• relfrac_sq - Religious fractionalization (sq)
• plurrel - Size of largest confession
• minrelpc - Size of second largest confession
• force_ratio - Force ratio
• force_space - Force to space ratio
• exclgrps - Excluded groups
• exclpop - Excluded population
• excl_groups_pop - Excluded groups * excluded population
• intervention - Intervention (any)
• externalstate - External states
• strictvetos - Strict veto
• originalgroup - Original groups
• splinterfaction - Splinter faction
• neutral - Neutral intervention
• govmil - Military intervention for government
• oppmil - Military intervention for opposition
• _t
• duration_days
• _st
• _d
• _t0
• non_missing_2
• out_of_sample_1
• out_of_sample_2 - 5 quantiles of out_of_sample_divider_2
• out_of_sample_3 - 5 quantiles of out_of_sample_divider_3
• out_of_sample_4 - 5 quantiles of out_of_sample_divider_4
• out_of_sample_5 - 5 quantiles of out_of_sample_divider_5
• out_of_sample_6 - 5 quantiles of out_of_sample_divider_6
• out_of_sample_7 - 5 quantiles of out_of_sample_divider_7
• out_of_sample_8 - 5 quantiles of out_of_sample_divider_8
• out_of_sample_9 - 5 quantiles of out_of_sample_divider_9
• out_of_sample_10 - 5 quantiles of out_of_sample_divider_10
• strict - strict
• lgdpen - lgdpen
• treat - treat
• dur - dur
• startdate - startdate
• enddate - enddate
• warid - warid
• war - war
• yearbg - yearbg
• yearend - yearend
• incumb - incumb
• ccode - ccode
• insurg - insurg
• wdl - wdl
• win - win
• modern - modern
• gp - gp
• patron - patron
• cinc - cinc
• autoc7 - autoc7
• lenerpc - lenerpc
• ltradegdp - ltradegdp
• elf - elf
• heli - heli
• mlevel - mlevel
• region - region
• weurope - weurope
• eeurop - eeurop
• lamerica - lamerica
• ssafrica - ssafrica
• asia - asia
• nafrme - nafrme
• namerica - namerica
• brit - brit
• fr - fr
• rus - rus
• usa - usa
• china - china
• prio - prio
• cow - cow
• none - none
• fl - fl
• pitf - pitf
• turkey - turkey
• iraq - iraq
• ger - ger
• drc - drc
• spain - spain
• railway - railway
• ww2 - ww2
• postwar - postwar
• dec1 - dec1
• dec2 - dec2
• dec3 - dec3
• dec4 - dec4
• dec5 - dec5
• dec6 - dec6
• dec7 - dec7
• dec8 - dec8
• interwar - interwar
• postww2 - postww2
• postcw - postcw
• worldwar2 - worldwar2
• tie - tie
• defeat - defeat
• nwstate - nwstate
• frhouse1 - frhouse1
• frhouse2 - frhouse2
• notes - notes
• dem_occ - dem_occ
• mixed_dem - mixed_dem
• mixed_ndem - mixed_ndem
• pol5 - pol5
• weakdemo - weakdemo
• weakauto - weakauto
• newdis - newdis
• weakdemo2 - weakdemo2
• weakauto2 - weakauto2
• strongdemo - strongdemo
• strongauto - strongauto
• missing - missing
• interregnum - interregnum
• monarch - monarch
• military - military
• single - single
• hybrid - hybrid
• dem - dem
• person - person
• numlang - numlang
• treat_occ - treat_occ
• treat_mech - treat_mech
• democ6 - democ6
• weakstates - weakstates
• fiveyearlag - fiveyearlag
• flag - flag
• flag1 - flag1
• occ - occ
• xconst - xconst
• parcomp - parcomp
• nelf - nelf
• duryear - duryear
• mid - mid
• cinc100 - cinc100
• still - still
• endpoint - endpoint
• coldwar - coldwar
• post1945 - post1945
• ended - ended
• ldur - ldur
• docc - docc
• lcinc - lcinc
• milper - milper
• support - support
• rear - rear
• ipatron - ipatron
• elev - elev
• lelev - lelev
• ldis - ldis
• dis - dis
• mech - mech
• pol2 - pol2
• winnodraw - winnodraw
• defeatnodraw - defeatnodraw

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Label:

Replication Instructions Lyall.do

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Label:

Replication Instructions.do

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