Systematic Sampling, Temporal Aggregation, and the Study of Political Relationships (doi:10.7910/DVN/6JINVU)

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Document Description

Citation

Title:

Systematic Sampling, Temporal Aggregation, and the Study of Political Relationships

Identification Number:

doi:10.7910/DVN/6JINVU

Distributor:

Harvard Dataverse

Date of Distribution:

2009-12-21

Version:

1

Bibliographic Citation:

John R. Freeman, 2009, "Systematic Sampling, Temporal Aggregation, and the Study of Political Relationships", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/6JINVU, Harvard Dataverse, V1

Study Description

Citation

Title:

Systematic Sampling, Temporal Aggregation, and the Study of Political Relationships

Identification Number:

doi:10.7910/DVN/6JINVU

Authoring Entity:

John R. Freeman

Producer:

Political Analysis

Date of Production:

1989

Distributor:

Harvard Dataverse

Distributor:

Murray Research Archive

Date of Deposit:

2009-12-21

Holdings Information:

https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/6JINVU

Study Scope

Abstract:

Systematic sampling and temporal aggregation are the practices of sampling a time series at regular intervals and of summing or averaging time series observations over a time interval, respectively. Both practices are a source of statistical error and faulty inference. The problems that systematic sampling and temporal aggregation create for the construction of strongly specified and weakly specified models are discussed. The seriousness of these problems then is illustrated with respect to the debate about superpower rivalry. The debate is shown to derive, in part, from the fact that some researchers employ highly temporally aggregated measures of U.S. and Soviet foreign policy behavior. The larger methodological lessons are that we need to devote more time to determining the natural time unit of our theories and to conducting robustness checks across levels of temporal aggregation.

Methodology and Processing

Sources Statement

Data Access

Notes:

<a href="http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0">CC0 1.0</a>

Other Study Description Materials

Related Publications

Citation

Title:

John R. Freeman. 1989. "Systematic Sampling, Temporal Aggregation, and the Study of Political Relationships." Political Analysis, 1(1), 61-98. <a href= "http://pan.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/1/1/61" target= "_new">article available here</a>

Bibliographic Citation:

John R. Freeman. 1989. "Systematic Sampling, Temporal Aggregation, and the Study of Political Relationships." Political Analysis, 1(1), 61-98. <a href= "http://pan.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/1/1/61" target= "_new">article available here</a>