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Part 1: Document Description
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Citation |
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Title: |
Replication Data for: Do Commodity Price Shocks Cause Armed Conflict? A Meta-Analysis of Natural Experiments |
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Identification Number: |
doi:10.7910/DVN/BGCVOW |
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Distributor: |
Harvard Dataverse |
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Date of Distribution: |
2021-01-26 |
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Version: |
1 |
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Bibliographic Citation: |
Rudkin, Aaron; Christensen, Darin; Blair, Graeme, 2021, "Replication Data for: Do Commodity Price Shocks Cause Armed Conflict? A Meta-Analysis of Natural Experiments", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/BGCVOW, Harvard Dataverse, V1 |
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Citation |
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Title: |
Replication Data for: Do Commodity Price Shocks Cause Armed Conflict? A Meta-Analysis of Natural Experiments |
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Identification Number: |
doi:10.7910/DVN/BGCVOW |
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Authoring Entity: |
Rudkin, Aaron (University of California Los Angeles) |
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Christensen, Darin (University of California Los Angeles) |
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Blair, Graeme (University of California Los Angeles) |
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Distributor: |
Harvard Dataverse |
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Distributor: |
Harvard Dataverse |
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Access Authority: |
Rudkin, Aaron |
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Depositor: |
Rudkin, Aaron |
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Date of Deposit: |
2020-09-27 |
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Holdings Information: |
https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/BGCVOW |
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Study Scope |
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Keywords: |
Social Sciences, meta-analysis, comparative politics, commodities, resource prices, conflict |
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Abstract: |
Scholars of the resource curse argue that reliance on primary commodities destabilizes governments: price fluctuations generate windfalls or periods of austerity that provoke or intensify civil conflict. Over 350 quantitative studies test this claim, but prominent results point in different directions, making it difficult to discern which results reliably hold across contexts. We conduct a meta-analysis of 46 natural experiments that use difference-in-difference designs to estimate the causal effect of commodity price changes on armed civil conflict. We show that commodity price changes, on average, do not change the likelihood of conflict. However, there are cross-cutting effects by commodity type. In line with theory, we find price increases for labor-intensive agricultural commodities reduce conflict, while increases in the price of oil, a capital-intensive commodity, provoke conflict. We also find that price increases for lootable artisanal minerals provoke conflict. Our meta-analysis consolidates existing evidence, but also highlights opportunities for future research. |
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Methodology and Processing |
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Sources Statement |
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Data Access |
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Notes: |
This dataset not to be distributed/posted outside of the Harvard Dataverse. All downloads should take place directly on Harvard Dataverse to ensure data integrity. |
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Other Study Description Materials |
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Related Publications |
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Citation |
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Title: |
Graeme Blair, Darin Christensen, Aaron Rudkin. 2021. "Do Commodity Price Shocks Cause Armed Conflict? A Meta-Analysis of Natural Experiments." American Political Science Review, 1-8. |
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Identification Number: |
10.1017/S0003055420000957 |
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Bibliographic Citation: |
Graeme Blair, Darin Christensen, Aaron Rudkin. 2021. "Do Commodity Price Shocks Cause Armed Conflict? A Meta-Analysis of Natural Experiments." American Political Science Review, 1-8. |
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Label: |
bcr-meta-replication-apsr-2020.zip |
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Text: |
Main replication data and code for BCR 2020. Please read README.txt for notes about package versioning and replication of Table A.12. |
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Notes: |
application/zip |