Replication Data for: Deals with the Devil? Conflict Amnesties, Civil War, and Sustainable Peace (doi:10.7910/DVN/DPCTEF)

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Part 2: Study Description
Part 3: Data Files Description
Part 4: Variable Description
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Replication Data for: Deals with the Devil? Conflict Amnesties, Civil War, and Sustainable Peace

doi:10.7910/DVN/DPCTEF

Harvard Dataverse

2021-11-29

1

Dancy, Geoff, 2021, "Replication Data for: Deals with the Devil? Conflict Amnesties, Civil War, and Sustainable Peace", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/DPCTEF, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:2UBis/gI1hQtFIKLRx25jQ== [fileUNF]

Replication Data for: Deals with the Devil? Conflict Amnesties, Civil War, and Sustainable Peace

doi:10.7910/DVN/DPCTEF

Dancy, Geoff

Harvard Dataverse

Dancy, Geoff

Ogura, Ikuma

2021-11-29

https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/DPCTEF

Social Sciences, Social Sciences

Do legal amnesties for combatants help end civil wars? International policy experts often take it for granted that amnesties promote negotiated settlements with rebels. However, a large number of amnesties are followed by continued fighting or a return to the battlefield. What, then, are the factors that make amnesties effective or ineffective? In this article I use a disaggregated data set of all amnesties enacted in the context of internal war since 1946 to evaluate a bargaining theory of amnesties and peace. Testing hypotheses about conflict patterns using models that account for selection, I find that (1) only amnesties passed following conflict termination help resolve civil wars, (2) amnesties are more effective when they are embedded in peace agreements, and (3) amnesties that grant immunity for serious rights violations have no observable pacifying effects. These policy-relevant findings represent a new breakthrough in an ossified “peace versus justice” debate pitting security specialists against global human rights advocates.

CC0 Waiver

Dancy, Geoff. 2018. “Deals with the Devil? Conflict Amnesties, Civil War, and Sustainable Peace.” International Organization 72 (2): 387–421. doi:10.1017/S0020818318000012.

• Number of cases: 2484

• No. of variables per record: 63

• Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

UNF:6:OudxuUzv75nPKYcu5Krz5g==

• Number of cases: 3

• No. of variables per record: 4

• Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

UNF:6:0/jHuVeAG1rvtbxybs/P1Q==

• Number of cases: 3

• No. of variables per record: 4

• Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

UNF:6:5gOYawnwVUu+00qY+dUrSQ==

• conflictid - UCDP Conflict ID
• dyadid - Dyad ID
• dyadep - Fighting Episode
• year - Year
• country - Country
• ccode - COW Code
• startdate2 - Start Date YMD Hyphens
• stdate - Start Date MDY Commas
• stdate_stata - Start Date Interval
• next_stdate - Recurrence Date Interval (ends 12-31-14)
• ependdate - Episode End Date MDY
• enddate_stata - End Date Interval
• dpcdur - Peace Duration
• dyadterm - Termination (Binary)
• recur - Recurrence (Binary)
• outcome - UCDP Outcome
• victory - Victory
• nvictory - Non-Victory Outcome
• nvicterm - Non-Victory Termination
• negot - Negotiated Termination
• fizzle - Inactivity Outcome
• dyam - Conflict Amnesty
• during - Amnesty During Conflict
• after - Amnesty After Conflict
• hram - Serious Violations Amnesty
• dhram - During - SV Amnesty
• doppam1 - During - Amnesty 2-year rule
• dhram1 - During - SV Amnesty 2-year rule
• pcagam - PAG Termination Amnesty
• toppam - Termination Amnesty
• thram - SV Termination Amnesty
• intensitylevel - Intensity Level
• bop - Rebel Strength
• central - Centralization
• fightcap - Fighting Capacity
• rebcap - Rebel Capacity
• coup - Coup
• ethnic - Ethnic Dispute
• cumint - CumulativeIntensity
• numdyads - Dyads
• dnhram1 - During - No SV Amnesty 2-year rule
• tnhram - No SV Termination Amnesty
• npagam - No PAG Termination Amnesty
• dyamsum_l1 - Previous Amnesties
• govdom - (sum) govdom
• reb - (sum) reb
• unpko - UNPKO
• logpop2 - Population(ln)
• lsji - Judicial Independence
• transdum - Demo Trans
• blood - Bloody Hands
• lsjicat - Judicial Ind
• lsjibin
• weakreb - Weak Rebels
• poor - Low Income
• demo - Democracy
• decade
• postsl - After 1998
• time - Years at War
• territory - Territory
• lsjibin2
• numdyads2 - Rebel Strength
• time3
• sec - sec
• fd - fd
• fdlow - fdlow
• fdhigh - fdhigh
• sec - sec
• fd - fd
• fdlow - fdlow
• fdhigh - fdhigh

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 283.0; Min. 1.0; Valid 2484.0; StDev 65.70620353122898; Mean 109.04589371980676;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:8eJ/nj9H3tEZRVKMZn5WxA==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; Mean 534.2681159420392; Max. 14273.0; Valid 2484.0; StDev 1257.6594552783279

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:LiqDBNQlYdX00c4v+qJNbg==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2484.0; Mean 53428.20491143318; Max. 1427301.0; Min. 101.0; StDev 125765.85408655362

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:qbplgu/cB0Lk5qSlns/neg==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 1987.778180354267; Valid 2484.0; Min. 1946.0; Max. 2014.0; StDev 16.515614322877074;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:3ZjLfusfxJAEfvfo6Ta6vw==

f5569710 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:0hTd0yOmr021JZnRzFLzWw==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 2.0; StDev 215.30629404603255; Valid 2482.0; Mean 594.439564867043; Max. 910.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Vj6vh4vhncfqbi2ZI4QsPA==

f5569710 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:ZRTmIxWpSN9T5IMw7hIv/Q==

f5569710 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:vAGKS55WaaaBGpYAOKPfNw==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. -5024.0; StDev 6322.63602321464; Mean 8674.388888888869; Valid 2484.0; Max. 20079.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:n0ZVQQurIKpqo/e2nVJlOA==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2484.0; StDev 7239.171991270655; Min. -5024.0; Mean 10767.170289855052; Max. 20079.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:TQcyYX7yrw18U+M2E9V3Og==

f5569710 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:bDRiOcHzEWCt3jLeCfeJdw==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 10988.517940717626; StDev 6096.370982760416; Valid 641.0; Max. 19723.0; Min. -4912.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Bm4C+1mb+Bm8rsfIYhpxmw==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 6999.934477379102; Min. 352.0; Max. 24987.0; Valid 641.0; StDev 6517.475197887224

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:cODZCzSCqvgHZ4J43VqGyg==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; Valid 2484.0; StDev 0.4380949279778082; Mean 0.25885668276972684

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:IxVjSTb8FNyuDfQMoSkW2Q==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Valid 2484.0; StDev 0.267748498208571; Mean 0.07769726247987153

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:XCpXI686QhKPGvCFn6/N7g==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; StDev 1.5600148468456059; Max. 6.0; Valid 640.0; Mean 3.8375000000000012;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:vO8lSITuGMeNVnBf6zgriQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.25527980448024934; Valid 2484.0; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.07004830917874352;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:ctCh4ZZFDrD7cCFteM5Rvw==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.25527980448024934; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.9299516908212565; Valid 2484.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:mG+VRr54K10cuoEuA8eUAg==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2484.0; StDev 0.39143512234902245; Mean 0.1888083735909824; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:IIPaENRq2q0csmQSxotlvQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2484.0; StDev 0.23449573948263905; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.058373590982286665; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:XVmlcO+OuwNv+LlxC8bzYQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 0.30670851233880997; Valid 2484.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.10507246376811598

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:EfrtqCF9lfK2QgH/VTqXFg==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 2.0; Mean 0.11956521739130407; StDev 0.3294445039853023; Valid 2484.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:i8bQXT4pUg7fSe5RQ7hyEA==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.07286634460547448; Max. 1.0; StDev 0.2599693216096325; Valid 2484.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:OVLEnTsehF9+2JBwEEgnNA==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 0.2110355828286618; Valid 2484.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.04669887278582948

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:70P+ZhKVL5yCxhSB5RKjuw==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2484.0; Mean 0.030998389694041437; StDev 0.1733481663807789; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:aNQkgCT5XIBfYJySjj3ThQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Mean 0.01167471819645726; StDev 0.10743866212182596; Valid 2484.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:7jV5LS9aLZvSH7S0vLI0Uw==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.12439613526570174; StDev 0.3300993847115068; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Valid 2484.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:/Pj6EqKewp6ZzVubAIAQEQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.022141706924315333; StDev 0.14717395019039944; Valid 2484.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:tHFKAddgfZzt3ETKWh9HFA==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2484.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.1733481663807804; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.030998389694041645

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:M7JeLm0dLWxvsyB1f54K+Q==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; Valid 2484.0; Mean 0.05152979066022528; StDev 0.22112022741487075;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:E9HrsP3cyVODc8q0/6MjeA==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Valid 2484.0; StDev 0.12115844511350839; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.014895330112721475;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:vttTIJPpVce+UQWTQ76TRg==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2484.0; Mean 1.216183574879227; Min. 1.0; Max. 2.0; StDev 0.41172379112843527

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:WNrT7gq+OpjRDsD8ZG0TUw==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean -1.3366812227074223; Max. 2.0; Min. -2.0; StDev 0.6828802035077228; Valid 2290.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:RHcy/Pn1l5RTna3gpfa4mg==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.8274201492009261; Valid 2294.0; Min. 0.0; Max. 3.0; Mean 1.8744551002615508;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:rcMuBuxb0yF0YNv3Rz0lgQ==

f5569710 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:NHy1PFdS4/l3RG0OCN0byg==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2484.0; Max. 2.0; StDev 0.439813201587499; Mean 0.218599033816425; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:jNMhn8XrxMZOv6CVS8FV3g==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.02334943639291471; StDev 0.15104113466648894; Valid 2484.0; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:vKHth7tEtPkAXMdu5azssQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.061996779388083956; Valid 2484.0; StDev 0.24119825717590068; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:9RQI9UPN9e+ppinphOEXHQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.7560386473429952; Valid 2484.0; StDev 0.4295561591623194;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:RSW0hEoxhDIHrRjomI4oag==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2484.0; Max. 8.0; StDev 1.1923271324310167; Min. 1.0; Mean 1.671497584541063

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:YWKuq9rBMx/37Yij/3CIcQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.10225442834138479; Valid 2484.0; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; StDev 0.30304361239166977

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:kIlcXY4UwuxZW1nAbCzqIQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 0.18790048017804595; Valid 2484.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.036634460547504105;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:cZpVptaQ6OAMjJL6GibIcQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.02697262479871179; Valid 2484.0; Max. 1.0; StDev 0.16203602138578566

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:AxMzM3Law5EBi7uK38BAew==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.6215780998389627; Valid 2484.0; StDev 1.1602011112499158; Max. 6.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:nwuZSexTsobgG07g+b32PQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.48113207547169795; Valid 848.0; Max. 2.0; StDev 0.5069739300698044; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:QNktxLhBn0ccLsNHAsK8yg==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 1.5601415094339597; StDev 1.5176773339504264; Max. 7.0; Valid 848.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Sim3PXWRJVuBIqYSWjTp0g==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 0.24873989918707318; Valid 2461.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.06623323852092673;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:ncUKI0O1O0duL3gqdP1l9w==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 14.098198890686035; Min. 5.9506425857543945; StDev 1.4769681776120585; Valid 2477.0; Mean 10.173450011421608;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:kOr4DkfasEV8do4Fub814Q==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.2728832941610824; Min. 0.010200000368058681; Mean 0.3297290521312574; Max. 0.9890000224113464; Valid 2320.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:zJWi0WRIcBW9VjqPjz1Gpw==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.18243042088434466; Valid 2409.0; Mean 0.03445413034454145; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:gr3Y2dvS4wU6c07SJU6aAg==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; StDev 0.41555409937234344; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.22181964573268675; Valid 2484.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:WgXwedhHj9XXk2S7sP00Nw==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 1.5994363929146558; Max. 3.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 1.1437971557614832; Valid 2484.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:mRHoNULnp0MbuI/0Yd75Kg==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.5326086956521741; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.4990360000848192; Max. 1.0; Valid 2484.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:DI9u4tfHbTjEH/mSv0CzEw==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.40257648953301184; Valid 2484.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.490515567270392; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:EfjM6acAW4ieXJL9fSPxGQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2484.0; Mean 0.40780998389694106; Max. 1.0; StDev 0.4915264618628392; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:98o0MLumqYi7VJnUkKA/Mw==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Valid 2273.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.4695003627076953; Mean 0.3277606687197545;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:FL5NH5DdPFt9O+9jOIUGIA==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 4.0; Valid 2484.0; StDev 1.397203124826995; Mean 2.3276972624798655

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:M02HdJV/LzegcSQjpuu6WQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.27455716586151335; Valid 2484.0; StDev 0.44638071666866147

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:xeSmTXdk5Kd0ysPsIBu19g==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 41.0; Mean 5.712560386473448; Valid 2484.0; Min. 1.0; StDev 6.359126431467005;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:QE0BYY/Nc9PpOtjsL7JL2g==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Valid 2484.0; Mean 0.45933977455716657; StDev 0.49844434483037725

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:KExyGnrFW6avjyUY05g2sA==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.5382447665056359; Valid 2484.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.49863557175560846; Max. 1.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:s/9U1ddBOl64W/GdK5tUnQ==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.38486312399355993; Max. 1.0; StDev 0.48666091432793734; Valid 2484.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:EnjSUph1MN5vfW4lrb8d9g==

f5569710 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2484.0; StDev 0.4994771716663288; Mean 0.47504025764895164; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:xrZxFne8kL3hn/suKf0Pbw==

f5569711 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; Mean 1.2; Valid 3.0; Max. 1.4; StDev 0.19999999999999996;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:/Zcjaj3zaqUn7P75SFac9Q==

f5569711 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean -0.1260968; Min. -0.1260968; StDev 0.0; Valid 1.0; Max. -0.1260968

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:QM2U7EKBbMKq2mOTnym+eg==

f5569711 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean -0.1713338; Valid 1.0; Min. -0.1713338; Max. -0.1713338; StDev 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:J5sj33gWdX8vUX1aG7iqbA==

f5569711 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.0; Min. -0.0808597; Mean -0.0808597; Max. -0.0808597; Valid 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:xitlDmCKqypAYtNiVbUGSw==

f5569713 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.4; StDev 0.19999999999999996; Mean 1.2; Min. 1.0; Valid 3.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:/Zcjaj3zaqUn7P75SFac9Q==

f5569713 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean -0.1356887; Valid 2.0; Max. -0.1237946; Min. -0.1475828; StDev 0.016820797532221817;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:xdIEccz29QoSV5yA5BeJXg==

f5569713 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean -0.1849662; StDev 0.024906280732377526; Valid 2.0; Min. -0.2025776; Max. -0.1673548

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Iz1ex7290ZX+QGB2lXrPRA==

f5569713 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean -0.08641114999999999; StDev 0.008735243621388018; Valid 2.0; Max. -0.0802344; Min. -0.0925879;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Y3T/j2rfkp/KfZ7ssH7OoA==

Label:

DyadAmnesties.do

application/x-stata-syntax