Replication Data for: When do voters see fraud? Evaluating the role of poll supervision on perceptions of integrity. (doi:10.7910/DVN/EZS44G)

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Part 1: Document Description
Part 2: Study Description
Part 3: Data Files Description
Part 4: Variable Description
Part 5: Other Study-Related Materials
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Document Description

Citation

Title:

Replication Data for: When do voters see fraud? Evaluating the role of poll supervision on perceptions of integrity.

Identification Number:

doi:10.7910/DVN/EZS44G

Distributor:

Harvard Dataverse

Date of Distribution:

2024-04-22

Version:

1

Bibliographic Citation:

Mbozi, Fanisi, 2024, "Replication Data for: When do voters see fraud? Evaluating the role of poll supervision on perceptions of integrity.", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/EZS44G, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:1TOniBTCf7oUZHD3BB0cLQ== [fileUNF]

Study Description

Citation

Title:

Replication Data for: When do voters see fraud? Evaluating the role of poll supervision on perceptions of integrity.

Identification Number:

doi:10.7910/DVN/EZS44G

Authoring Entity:

Mbozi, Fanisi (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

Distributor:

Harvard Dataverse

Access Authority:

Mbozi, Fanisi

Depositor:

Mbozi, Fanisi

Date of Deposit:

2023-12-11

Holdings Information:

https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/EZS44G

Study Scope

Keywords:

Social Sciences, Conjoint, Monitoring, Elections

Abstract:

What shapes voter perceptions of election outcomes? Recent disputes in Malawi and Kenya highlight the vulnerability of local vote counts to accusations of malfeasance, which often generate negative public perceptions of vote reliability. Election monitoring in these countries is thought to crucially affect both the quality of the election and voters’ perceptions of the same. To date, most research on this topic has focused on the effect of non-partisan electoral observers. However, in many countries two other interest groups also monitor the vote counting process: political party agents and government election officials. Does the presence of these actors also affect voter perceptions of election integrity? To answer this question, I conducted a conjoint experiment in Malawi and Kenya in which voters evaluate the reliability of vote counts from hypothetical polling stations where the presence of party agents, non-partisan observers, and election officers is varied. I find that the presence of each of these groups does indeed shape voter perceptions: voters are more likely to view vote counts as reliable when they are co-signed by a party agent, election official, or non-partisan observer. Further, these preferences persist regardless of the voters' own party affiliation or trust in electoral institutions.

Methodology and Processing

Sources Statement

Data Access

Other Study Description Materials

File Description--f7666424

File: Qualtrics_Dictionary_KY.tab

  • Number of cases: 127

  • No. of variables per record: 2

  • Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

Notes:

UNF:6:bXoV6IPkuaFrZ4itt5gh+Q==

File Description--f7666423

File: Qualtrics_Dictionary_MW.tab

  • Number of cases: 127

  • No. of variables per record: 2

  • Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

Notes:

UNF:6:Nsajemvci6de0oXGKRBbdA==

Variable Description

List of Variables:

Variables

KY_Clean10_24.png

f7666424 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:wCMjqsPQ4YaGTK97Hj5ilQ==

IM_7NyKO4uUz9q2xPo

f7666424 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:vtY+K16IjCQnJOCFTBsOog==

MW_Clean10_24.png

f7666423 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:rWNVZ9MuvaB3xc1tBiuA5w==

IM_eY9byMqbbuEbHMO

f7666423 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:7HSm9B4TYWr1oWbMwjgy3A==

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

AP21_Kenya.csv

Text:

The raw data from the Kenya Qualtrics Survey. This is used in the data cleaning Python notebook to produce part of the 'rep_full_df.csv'.

Notes:

text/csv

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

AP21_Malawi.csv

Text:

This is the raw data from the Malawi Qualtrics survey. It is used in the data cleaning Python notebook to build part of 'rep_full_df.csv'.

Notes:

text/csv

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

Fanisi_AfroBarometer_Survey_Comparison.ipynb

Text:

Qualtrics survey demographics compared to AfroBarometer. It uses the datasets AP21_Kenya and AP21_Malawi.

Notes:

application/x-ipynb+json

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

Main Analyses and Appendicies__v2.R

Text:

The main analyses (updated replication code with better readability). All plots and outcomes seen in the paper are in this R script. It uses 'rep_full_df.csv' as its main input.

Notes:

type/x-r-syntax

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

Mbozi_Data_Cleaning_Qualtrics_to_Clean_DF.ipynb

Text:

This is a Jupyter notebook (with discussion, notes and annotated python code) of how I cleaned and reshaped the Qualtrics datasets (AP21_Malawi and AP21_Kenya) and created the final 'rep_full_df.csv'.

Notes:

application/x-ipynb+json

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

Read_Me_When do voters see fraud.docx

Text:

Readme file

Notes:

application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

rep_full_df.csv

Text:

This is the cleaned and combined dataset of the Kenya and Malawi data. This is the core dataset of the analysis in the R-Studio replication files. ( It is the final output from the Python data cleaning notebook.)

Notes:

text/csv