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Part 1: Document Description
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Citation |
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Title: |
Latent Estimates of Historic Gross Domestic Product, GDP per capita, Surplus Domestic Product, and Population Data Version 1 |
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Identification Number: |
doi:10.7910/DVN/FALCGS |
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Distributor: |
Harvard Dataverse |
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Date of Distribution: |
2022-02-18 |
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Version: |
2 |
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Bibliographic Citation: |
Fariss, Christopher; Therese Anders; Jonathan Markowitz; Miriam Barnum, 2022, "Latent Estimates of Historic Gross Domestic Product, GDP per capita, Surplus Domestic Product, and Population Data Version 1", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/FALCGS, Harvard Dataverse, V2 |
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Citation |
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Title: |
Latent Estimates of Historic Gross Domestic Product, GDP per capita, Surplus Domestic Product, and Population Data Version 1 |
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Identification Number: |
doi:10.7910/DVN/FALCGS |
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Authoring Entity: |
Fariss, Christopher (University of Michigan) |
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Therese Anders (University of Southern California) |
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Jonathan Markowitz (University of Southern California) |
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Miriam Barnum (University of Southern California) |
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Distributor: |
Harvard Dataverse |
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Access Authority: |
Fariss, Christopher |
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Depositor: |
Fariss, Christopher |
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Date of Deposit: |
2022-02-18 |
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Holdings Information: |
https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/FALCGS |
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Study Scope |
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Keywords: |
Social Sciences |
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Abstract: |
Gross Domestic Product (GDP), GDP per capita, and population are central to the study of politics and economics broadly, and conflict processes in particular. Despite the prominence of these variables in empirical research, existing data lack historical coverage and are assumed to be measured without error. We develop a latent variable modeling framework that expands data coverage (1500 A.D--2018 A.D) and, by making use of multiple indicators for each variable, provides a principled framework to estimate uncertainty for values for all country-year variables relative to one another. Expanded temporal coverage of estimates provides new insights about the relationship between development and democracy, conflict, repression, and health. We also demonstrate how to incorporate uncertainty in observational models. Results show that the relationship between repression and development is weaker than models that do not incorporate uncertainty suggest. Future extensions of the latent variable model can address other forms of systematic measurement error with new data, new measurement theory, or both. |
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Methodology and Processing |
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Sources Statement |
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Data Access |
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Other Study Description Materials |
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Related Publications |
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Citation |
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Title: |
Fariss, Christopher J., Therese Anders, Jonathan N. Markowitz, and Miriam Barnum. “New Estimates of Over 500 Years of Historic GDP and Population Data.” Journal of Conflict Resolution, (February 2022). https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027211054432. |
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Identification Number: |
10.1177/00220027211054432 |
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Bibliographic Citation: |
Fariss, Christopher J., Therese Anders, Jonathan N. Markowitz, and Miriam Barnum. “New Estimates of Over 500 Years of Historic GDP and Population Data.” Journal of Conflict Resolution, (February 2022). https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027211054432. |
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Label: |
estimates_gdppc_model_combined_normal_noslope_gamma_lambda_additive_test_20220215.rds |
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application/gzip |
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estimates_gdppc_model_combined_normal_noslope_gamma_lambda_additive_test_20240416.rds |
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estimates_gdp_model_combined_normal_noslope_gamma_lambda_additive_test_20220215.rds |
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estimates_gdp_model_combined_normal_noslope_gamma_lambda_additive_test_20240416.rds |
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estimates_pop_model_combined_normal_noslope_gamma_lambda_additive_test_20210827.rds |
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estimates_pop_model_combined_normal_noslope_gamma_lambda_additive_test_20240416.rds |
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Notes: |
application/gzip |