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Part 1: Document Description
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Citation |
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Title: |
Replication Data for: After a Storm Come Votes: Identifying the Effects of Disaster Relief on Electoral Outcomes |
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Identification Number: |
doi:10.7910/DVN/N5HRDP |
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Distributor: |
Harvard Dataverse |
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Date of Distribution: |
2024-01-07 |
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Version: |
1 |
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Bibliographic Citation: |
Fukumoto, Kentaro; Kikuta, Kyosuke, 2024, "Replication Data for: After a Storm Come Votes: Identifying the Effects of Disaster Relief on Electoral Outcomes", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/N5HRDP, Harvard Dataverse, V1 |
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Citation |
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Title: |
Replication Data for: After a Storm Come Votes: Identifying the Effects of Disaster Relief on Electoral Outcomes |
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Identification Number: |
doi:10.7910/DVN/N5HRDP |
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Authoring Entity: |
Fukumoto, Kentaro (Gakushuin University) |
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Kikuta, Kyosuke (Institute of Developing Economies) |
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Distributor: |
Harvard Dataverse |
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Access Authority: |
Kikuta, Kyosuke |
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Depositor: |
Kikuta, Kyosuke |
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Date of Deposit: |
2024-01-06 |
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Holdings Information: |
https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/N5HRDP |
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Study Scope |
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Keywords: |
Social Sciences |
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Abstract: |
The retrospective voting theory suggests that citizens vote for governing parties in response to distributive benefits. Knowing this, governments may reward voters by providing particularistic benefits—i.e., pork—prior to elections. Previous studies, however, do not account for the endogeneity. We address this problem by focusing on disaster relief and exploiting exogeneity of disaster. In particular, by using maximum hourly rainfall as an instrumental variable for disaster relief, we analyze the causal effect of disaster relief on incumbent’s electoral outcomes. Our analyses of Japanese data in the past few decades indicate that disaster relief increased governing parties’ vote share. Specifically, when the disaster relief per capita increases from zero to its mean, the predicted value of the governing parties’ vote share increases by 2.8 and 5.4% points in the lower and upper chambers, respectively. The finding is consistent with retrospective voting behavior. Moreover, our results imply that the incumbent’s electoral gain is brought about by persuading voters from oppositions to governing parties rather than by mobilizing supporters of governing parties. |
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Notes: |
This is a replication file for "After a Storm Come Votes: Identifying the Effects of Disaster Relief on Electoral Outcomes" |
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Methodology and Processing |
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Sources Statement |
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Data Access |
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Other Study Description Materials |
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Related Publications |
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Citation |
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Title: |
Fukumoto, Kentaro and Kyosuke Kikuta. (2024). "After a Storm Come Votes: Identifying the Effects of Disaster Relief on Electoral Outcomes." Political Behavior (46): 2357–2377. |
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Bibliographic Citation: |
Fukumoto, Kentaro and Kyosuke Kikuta. (2024). "After a Storm Come Votes: Identifying the Effects of Disaster Relief on Electoral Outcomes." Political Behavior (46): 2357–2377. |
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Label: |
fukumoto_kikuta_PB.zip |
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Notes: |
application/zipped-shapefile |