Replication data for: Deep Interactions with MRP: Election Turnout and Voting Patterns Among Small Electoral Subgroups (doi:10.7910/DVN/PZAOO6)

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Part 2: Study Description
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Document Description

Citation

Title:

Replication data for: Deep Interactions with MRP: Election Turnout and Voting Patterns Among Small Electoral Subgroups

Identification Number:

doi:10.7910/DVN/PZAOO6

Distributor:

Harvard Dataverse

Date of Distribution:

2012-07-27

Version:

3

Bibliographic Citation:

Ghitza, Yair; Gelman, Andrew, 2012, "Replication data for: Deep Interactions with MRP: Election Turnout and Voting Patterns Among Small Electoral Subgroups", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/PZAOO6, Harvard Dataverse, V3

Study Description

Citation

Title:

Replication data for: Deep Interactions with MRP: Election Turnout and Voting Patterns Among Small Electoral Subgroups

Identification Number:

doi:10.7910/DVN/PZAOO6

Authoring Entity:

Ghitza, Yair (Columbia University)

Gelman, Andrew (Columbia University)

Producer:

Ghitza, Yair

Gelman, Andrew

Distributor:

Harvard Dataverse

Access Authority:

Ghitza, Yair

Depositor:

Ghitza, Yair

Date of Deposit:

2012-07-25

Date of Distribution:

2012

Holdings Information:

https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/PZAOO6

Study Scope

Keywords:

Social Sciences, Voter turnout, Public opinion, Partisanship, Presidential elections, Geographic variation, Demographic variation, Data visualization, Statistical modeling, Multilevel regression and poststratification, Multilevel models, Stratification

Abstract:

Using multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP), we estimate voter turnout and vote choice within deeply interacted subgroups: subsets of the population that are defined by multiple demographic and geographic characteristics. This article lays out the models and statistical procedures we use, along with the steps required to fit the model for the 2004 and 2008 Presidential elections. Though MRP is an increasingly popular method, we improve upon it in numerous ways: deeper levels of covariate interaction, allowing for non-linearity and non-monotonicity, accounting for unequal inclusion probabilities that are conveyed in survey weights, post-estimation adjustments to turnout and voting levels, and informative multidimensional graphical displays as a form of model checking. We use a series of examples to demonstrate the flexibility of our method, including an illustration of turnout and vote choice as subgroups become increasingly detailed, and an analysis of both vote choice changes and turnout changes from 2004 to 2008.

Country:

United States

Notes:

Version Date: 2012-07-25Version Text: 1.0

Methodology and Processing

Sources Statement

Data Access

Notes:

<a href="http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0">CC0 1.0</a>

Other Study Description Materials

Related Publications

Citation

Title:

Ghitza, Yair, and Andrew Gelman. 2013. “Deep Interactions with MRP: Election Turnout and Voting Patterns Among Small Electoral Subgroups.” <i>American Journal of Political Science</i> 57 (3): 762–76.

Identification Number:

10.1111/ajps.12004

Bibliographic Citation:

Ghitza, Yair, and Andrew Gelman. 2013. “Deep Interactions with MRP: Election Turnout and Voting Patterns Among Small Electoral Subgroups.” <i>American Journal of Political Science</i> 57 (3): 762–76.

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

data.zip

Text:

Data

Notes:

application/octet-stream

Other Study-Related Materials

Label:

mrp-replication-4.R

Text:

Replication script

Notes:

text/plain; charset=US-ASCII