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Part 1: Document Description
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Citation |
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Title: |
Failed Agreements and Their Impact on Subsequent Mediation Onset and Success in Intrastate Conflicts |
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Identification Number: |
doi:10.7910/DVN/UESX19 |
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Distributor: |
Harvard Dataverse |
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Date of Distribution: |
2019-07-22 |
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Version: |
1 |
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Bibliographic Citation: |
Aduda, Levke, 2019, "Failed Agreements and Their Impact on Subsequent Mediation Onset and Success in Intrastate Conflicts", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/UESX19, Harvard Dataverse, V1 |
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Citation |
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Title: |
Failed Agreements and Their Impact on Subsequent Mediation Onset and Success in Intrastate Conflicts |
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Identification Number: |
doi:10.7910/DVN/UESX19 |
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Authoring Entity: |
Aduda, Levke (University of Gottingen) |
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Distributor: |
Harvard Dataverse |
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Access Authority: |
Interactions, International |
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Depositor: |
Interactions, International |
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Date of Deposit: |
2019-07-09 |
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Holdings Information: |
https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/UESX19 |
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Study Scope |
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Keywords: |
Social Sciences, mediation, third-party conflict management, intrastate conflict, failed agreements, sequencing of mediation efforts |
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Abstract: |
What impact do failed mediated agreements have on subsequent mediation onset and success? The question of mediation onset and success is undoubtedly important, given that mediation is one of the international community’s preferred conflict management tools, but its voluntary nature leaves room for the conflict parties to (dis)agree to talks and possible settlements. Existing research suggests that previous mediation outcomes can affect subsequent mediation efforts positively or negatively—depending on the outcome in focus. This article argues that failed agreements—an outcome of mediation that has not been accounted for in existing literature—underscore the persistence of the commitment problem, and therefore the hazards of sharing private information. Consequently, the conflict parties question the utility of mediation, and the likelihood of subsequent mediation onset decreases. If subsequent talks take place despite the failed agreement, the conflict parties refrain from sharing private information, and reaching an agreement becomes thus less likely. Drawing on the Uppsala Conflict Data Program’s (UCDP) Managing Intrastate Conflict in Africa dataset and the UCDP Peace Agreement dataset, the results strongly underline the negative impact failed agreements have on subsequent mediation onset, and thereby show that agreement longevity is crucial not only for peace duration but also for leaving the door open to subsequent talks. |
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Methodology and Processing |
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Sources Statement |
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Data Access |
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Notes: |
<a href="http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0">CC0 1.0</a> |
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Other Study Description Materials |
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