Replication data for: Turnout in a Small World (doi:10.7910/DVN/UMRZNM)

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Part 2: Study Description
Part 3: Data Files Description
Part 4: Variable Description
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Replication data for: Turnout in a Small World

doi:10.7910/DVN/UMRZNM

Harvard Dataverse

2007-11-28

1

James H. Fowler, 2007, "Replication data for: Turnout in a Small World", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/UMRZNM, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:3:SKSt3wKOiZ9BI09TtCeHyA== [fileUNF]

Replication data for: Turnout in a Small World

doi:10.7910/DVN/UMRZNM

James H. Fowler (University of California, San Diego)

2005

Harvard Dataverse

James H. Fowler

2007-08-06

2007

https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/UMRZNM

This paper investigates between-voter interactions in a social network model of turnout. It shows that if 1) there is a small probability that voters imitate the behavior of one of their acquaintances, and 2) individuals are closely connected to others in a population (the “small-world” effect), then a single voting decision may affect dozens of other voters in a “turnout cascade.” If people tend to be ideologically similar to other people they are connected to, then these turnout cascades will produce net favorable results for their favorite candidate. By changing more than one vote with one’s own turnout decision, the turnout incentive is thus substantially larger than previously thought. We analyze conditions that are favorable to turnout cascades and show that the effect is consistent with real social network data from Huckfeldt and Sprague’s South Bend and Indianapolis-St. Louis election surveys. We also suggest that turnout cascades may help explain over-reporting of turnout and the ubiquitous belief in a duty to vote.

<a href="http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0">CC0 1.0</a>

James H. Fowler. 2005. Turnout in a Small World. In Alan Zuckerman, ed., "<a href= "http://www.temple.edu/tempress/titles/1775_reg.html" target= "_new">Social Logic of Politics</a>," (pp. 269-287), Philadelphia: Temple University Press. <a href= "http://jhfowler.ucsd.edu/turnout_in_a_small_world.pdf" target= "_new">article available here</a>

James H. Fowler. 2005. Turnout in a Small World. In Alan Zuckerman, ed., "<a href= "http://www.temple.edu/tempress/titles/1775_reg.html" target= "_new">Social Logic of Politics</a>," (pp. 269-287), Philadelphia: Temple University Press. <a href= "http://jhfowler.ucsd.edu/turnout_in_a_small_world.pdf" target= "_new">article available here</a>

• Number of cases: 3343

• No. of variables per record: 31

• Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

UNF:3:SKSt3wKOiZ9BI09TtCeHyA==

Data file

• run
• tick
• rngseed - RngSeed
• numcitizens - numCitizens
• avedegree - aveDegree
• corr
• imitationrate - imitationRate
• numdiscussions - numDiscussions
• rewirerate - rewireRate
• averagepathlength - Average Path Length
• clusteringcoefficient - Clustering Coefficient
• preferencecorrelation - Preference Correlation
• lefttotal - Left Total
• righttotal - Right Total
• leftchange - Left Change
• rightchange - Right Change
• netfavorablechange - Net Favorable Change
• totalchange
• nclowess
• adlowess
• irlowess
• ndlowess
• aplowess
• cclowess
• pclowess
• lnapl
• lntc
• rho5lowess
• rho8lowess
• rho10lowess
• lnaplowess

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Citizen.java

Text:

Citizen program file

text/plain; charset=US-ASCII

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Model.java

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Model program file

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ModelBatch.java

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Batch variables DataRecorder recorder; repast's mechanism for data recording

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ModelGUI.java

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Creates the GUI class through subclassing from the Model class

text/plain; charset=US-ASCII

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Tiasw.zip

Text:

Data file in original stata file format

application/zip

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Turnout_in_a_small_world.pdf

Text:

Original article for this study

application/pdf