Qui Bono? Foreign Military, Economic, Diplomatic Interventions, and the Termination of Civil Wars: An Integrative Approach (doi:10.7910/DVN/Y0MUSM)

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Part 2: Study Description
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Qui Bono? Foreign Military, Economic, Diplomatic Interventions, and the Termination of Civil Wars: An Integrative Approach

doi:10.7910/DVN/Y0MUSM

Harvard Dataverse

2021-07-30

1

Ilgaz, Huseyin, 2021, "Qui Bono? Foreign Military, Economic, Diplomatic Interventions, and the Termination of Civil Wars: An Integrative Approach", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/Y0MUSM, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:TyByJeL5MLVWR+JJGpDfXg== [fileUNF]

Qui Bono? Foreign Military, Economic, Diplomatic Interventions, and the Termination of Civil Wars: An Integrative Approach

doi:10.7910/DVN/Y0MUSM

Ilgaz, Huseyin (University of Pittsburgh)

Harvard Dataverse

Interactions, International

Interactions, International

2021-07-15

https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/Y0MUSM

Social Sciences

Foreign interventions are generally considered as game changers in civil wars. Yet the extant literature on this topic typically focuses on a single type of intervention, neglecting the effect of other intervention types deployed within the same conflict. Breaking with tradition, this article proposes a more extensive, multi-faceted bargaining model that integrates multiple types of interventions—military, economic, and diplomatic—that may be employed in a given conflict. The new framework analyzes how the interventions—either alone or in combination with others—shift the balance of power, often partly because interventions reveal previously private information regarding the true capacities of the warring parties. By including the asymmetrical aspects of civil wars in the framework, the article argues and finds support that although rebel-sided interventions usually produce their desired effect by enhancing the opposition’s military capacity, state- sided interventions tend to backfire and ultimately undermine the government.

<a href="http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0">CC0 1.0</a>

• Number of cases: 2385

• No. of variables per record: 70

• Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

UNF:6:TyByJeL5MLVWR+JJGpDfXg==

• DyadId - DyadId
• DyadId_2 - New recurrences are contructed by adding numbers to DyadId
• Year - Year
• seq - time-sensitive duration for each episode-DyadId_2
• Incompatibility - Type of Conflict
• intensity_1 - Conflict Intensity
• pcw - Post-Cold War
• lngdp_pc - GDP per capita (ln)
• polity2_conv - Polity Score
• Location - Location
• milint - Military Int
• ecoint - Economic Int
• dipint - Diplomatic Int
• Outcome - Outcome
• state_mil - State-biased military intervention
• rebel_mil - Rebel-biased military intervention
• SideA - SideA
• SideA2nd - SideA2nd
• SideB - SideB
• SideBID - SideBID
• SideB2nd - SideB2nd
• TerritoryName - TerritoryName
• t
• SupportedSide - Supported Side
• external_type - external_type
• external_type__X - external_type__X
• external_type__L - external_type__L
• external_type__Y - external_type__Y
• external_type__W - external_type__W
• external_type__M - external_type__M
• external_type__T - external_type__T
• external_type__ - external_type__$
• external_type__I - external_type__I
• external_type__O - external_type__O
• external_type__U - external_type__U
• external_comment - external_comment
• SupportedSide_2 - Supported Side_2
• external_type_2 - external_type_2
• external_type__X_2 - external_type__X_2
• external_type__L_2 - external_type__L_2
• external_type__Y_2 - external_type__Y_2
• external_type__W_2 - external_type__W_2
• external_type__M_2 - external_type__M_2
• external_type__T_2 - external_type__T_2
• external_type___2 - external_type__$_2
• external_type__I_2 - external_type__I_2
• external_type__O_2 - external_type__O_2
• external_type__U_2 - external_type__U_2
• external_comment_2 - external_comment_2
• trade5 - Proportion of World Trade * {.00001}
• rel_reb_strength - Categorical Rel.Str.
• lnbrd - Battle-Related Deaths (ln)
• ln_trade - Total Trade (ln)
• Year2 - 31dec added version of Year variable
• Year_0 - 01jan added version of Year variable
• land - number of neighboring countries by land
• Trajectory_2 - Intervention(s) deployed in a given year
• termination - Outcome for each year--0 for continuing conflict years
• seq_2
• numdyads - Number of rebel groups
• Dip_3P_1 - 0=none, number=country code for a mediator
• Dip_3P_2 - 0=none, number=country code for a mediator
• Dip_3P_3 - 0=none, number=country code for a mediator
• Dip_3P_4 - 0=none, number=country code for a mediator
• Dip_3P_5 - 0=none, number=country code for a mediator
• Dip_3P_6 - 0=none, number=country code for a mediator
• Dip_3P_7 - 0=none, number=country code for a mediator
• Dip_3P_8 - 0=none, number=country code for a mediator
• rel_gdp_DI - Relative GDP for third-party and conflict country
• ln_rel_gdp_DI - Relative GDP for third-party and conflict country (logged)

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 11932.0; Mean 420.3475890985336; Min. 1.0; Valid 2385.0; StDev 400.50831840006805

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:AO5TzkgLk/9PB2LTmpPgyw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; StDev 15455.510413573147; Mean 8868.98490566052; Max. 80129.0; Valid 2385.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Qg50D/QT6zDBRIF8QpyNmQ==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 2012.0; Valid 2385.0; Mean 1986.6947589098536; StDev 15.973496616700666; Min. 1946.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Z4b7/qFJPHbPFXppm2Le+A==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 41.0; Valid 2385.0; StDev 6.294457684611977; Min. 1.0; Mean 5.714465408805025

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:zQqgNSAkEcpFJZbHh3oTlw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.49866261278556223; Valid 2385.0; Mean 1.5379454926624743; Max. 2.0; Min. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:cZz1ZXSazeSrdt5ThffRHQ==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.2184486373165619; Valid 2385.0; StDev 0.4132801043037169;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:MymeHo5mFZawkOMM4gcIaw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.47127882599581455; Max. 1.0; StDev 0.49927909421292993; Valid 2385.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:kKKk95ZBezBUJiv++SAuUg==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 10.837756156921387; StDev 1.4440386021366158; Min. 3.044522523880005; Valid 2363.0; Mean 6.177082829489517

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:4O53GNR6NzX1YqukIovUSQ==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2376.0; Min. 1.0; StDev 6.448373804370604; Mean 10.792929292929273; Max. 21.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:2l7Iw/wdAyPtBK1UHyybUA==

f4892596 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:hHr7shgqyOI4EY33y7mmWw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.36010139163158605; Valid 2385.0; Mean 0.15303983228511434; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:q7cggkrNNLVsjGAZKnnjjw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.21719077568134218; Valid 2385.0; StDev 0.4124200035289942; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:mDrTXsLt1eLJUo5N0ISgOA==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.37810710079128484; Mean 0.17274633123689137; Max. 1.0; Valid 2385.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:yt/c2KnvnFO1MBOTCEitBA==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; Mean 3.8309178743961354; StDev 1.5653745181119432; Valid 621.0; Max. 6.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:qPnMAwqsZ0O5Thge/2GE5A==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.13794549266247327; StDev 0.34491508348133404; Valid 2385.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:6d7SodajRp/olNTroZyBJQ==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.03438155136268342; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.18224540114002075; Valid 2385.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:rE7ZWKn+t+RDJQpO7FLqLw==

f4892596 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:dT7fN8aKJbWn6WODkzzvnA==

f4892596 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:3ZOlIC+uM22icwdQR+OD4w==

f4892596 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:gpoU2W4G4fp2UbWNvQostA==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 272.7728798607375; Mean 1281.3781970649895; Min. 1002.0; Max. 4456.0; Valid 2385.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:O9PGAyYMiRTDBo6LOFQtUw==

f4892596 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:svagIJh25ntKyRIsBKt1+A==

f4892596 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:UGOGrQ+7gh2EzFjlFy8T2A==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 41.0; Valid 2385.0; Mean 5.714465408805025; StDev 6.294457684611977; Min. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:zQqgNSAkEcpFJZbHh3oTlw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 1683.0; Mean 1.0; Min. 1.0; StDev 0.0; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:IidGEuxy1DsEEqC7kCL51Q==

f4892596 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:tW5df4EX4v9DjG/VQDg5dQ==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.24547283702213252; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.43058384187143733; Valid 994.0; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:/sVJGNLvlcfe/8cp/XXYdg==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 994.0; StDev 0.18440619607229036; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.03521126760563374; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:qd9BuGY4caFmGTN5pDTEHg==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Valid 994.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.29826289317163573; Mean 0.09859154929577472

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:FuFUUv1Kitddz8A6hGvgPQ==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.7243460764587535; Valid 994.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.44706813166467885; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:h+OGn5NU5ujBlEhurgQ1UA==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.4524574370878761; Mean 0.7132796780684105; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Valid 994.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:pNrLsEBDqxTruSnNIrtmSw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.7162977867203209; Valid 994.0; Max. 1.0; StDev 0.4510209698694316; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Vgfw0xDkEf37Rd+92J7tPA==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.4943682173737493; Valid 994.0; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.5764587525150904;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:WC95UUAW9awNKzmQHhzhdw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 994.0; Mean 0.07847082494969844; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.2690464225675537; Max. 1.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Zg6cvFEzDEdV0lONIwDR7A==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 994.0; Mean 0.023138832997987815; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.1504200457793162; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:n11peOp7UXCPhdXHWMcj0Q==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.009054325955734495; StDev 0.09477014683706446; Min. 0.0; Valid 994.0; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:T3lWt3QOOUwgMa60bO/Gug==

f4892596 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:cwWJLqKFGLFoKSHWcWn2Eg==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 2.0; Valid 1682.0; StDev 0.0; Mean 2.0; Min. 2.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:P5ANZzepsyVu097YoBNs9g==

f4892596 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:EUbs8Z4EV0uIRtTifWL+CA==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.058823529411764885; StDev 0.2354156224925667; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; Valid 969.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:T26R1GHf3iDHupYohWRYHg==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.49125609276471527; Mean 0.40557275541795645; Max. 1.0; Valid 969.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:zIyImHR64iB6hMGZazKFRg==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Valid 969.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.363859111812617; Mean 0.1568627450980395

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:U+R6fvgUka2SvseSzrjyEA==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.500255800287882; Max. 1.0; Valid 969.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.4984520123839013;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:UqBJbVepMHlb/zOh181UKg==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.4927728672740916; Max. 1.0; Valid 969.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.41382868937048495;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:k/zXVU9PYjSDCqoU6vsfrg==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.4891573998554659; Max. 1.0; Valid 969.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.39525283797729655

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:xVXI2gIbWXsiTFvyBcJiFQ==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.4778121775025803; Max. 1.0; Valid 969.0; StDev 0.49976540138528963;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:hJQ0LciCH2NwdG6K1yZ14w==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.19173846712430706; Min. 0.0; Valid 969.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.03818369453044365;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:oBPER3B6yJqMKTsmfsvI0g==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 969.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.2961204400753261; Mean 0.09700722394220851; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:w8TOWQKw5oDqYt+vnV+76A==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.014447884416924716; StDev 0.11938950084209822; Valid 969.0; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:aD6HJn9CRDAM6hCURP2ZZA==

f4892596 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:HkMKI94+kk2zQb+NUVGUag==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 414.23723591549134; Max. 15428.0; Valid 2272.0; StDev 1141.8070436917749; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:i6SzJTHElasvEWojIIDyhA==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; Max. 5.0; StDev 0.6810572621507522; Mean 1.6756398940864952; Valid 2266.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:7T60CeyWKErgCIGVfXSenw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 3.2188758850097656; Mean 5.109635676295954; StDev 1.5331714997982997; Max. 10.329833030700684; Valid 1181.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:gAqNpihIm0/lj3hGVH5OfQ==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 1.8123075912118103; Valid 2223.0; Mean 4.634522346939743; Min. 0.0; Max. 9.643939018249512

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:K9lhbCChvwFzEZJ14e3NLA==

f4892596 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:tsX8OU2bQOa/CwJRhdt60Q==

f4892596 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:eNhDDRhtjJDhRlhLCAHNsw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 4.471578947368426; Max. 20.0; Valid 2375.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 2.2785982384263566

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:+agbxJmPtIFzeeSZS2jCaQ==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; StDev 1.7025337400518927; Mean 2.2192872117400455; Max. 8.0; Valid 2385.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:ixNhr+RsiPyXnqTQDYXw3A==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 1.0758909853249463; Max. 6.0; Valid 2385.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 1.9459198118846845;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:UK53zwL6+TuglNrEur4WZw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; Max. 1681.0; Valid 2385.0; StDev 169.77347889682918; Mean 72.25870020964332

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:kgoHxtxlNeFPdnPAFTGwRw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; StDev 2.072666924529929; Mean 2.775262054507344; Max. 10.0; Valid 2385.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:H5oijvr/OyyrWHosuDLjqg==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2385.0; Mean 234.06457023060938; Max. 9005.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 1182.6678084558644

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:YGaT8x4fQ97L5mTcn544uw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 49.23438155136473; Max. 9004.0; StDev 537.605348650803; Min. 0.0; Valid 2385.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:XPMc4lTQwSJAZ+T1AsAjoQ==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 9000.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 290.34425296287174; Mean 16.997484276729764; Valid 2385.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:HSD/mVKza9sXRiM53ih4PA==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1000.0; Min. 0.0; Valid 2385.0; StDev 46.094072792878215; Mean 3.360587002096376

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:gQm1QZvJ30gYzqzOUbz08Q==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2385.0; Min. 0.0; Max. 651.0; StDev 22.17098586471865; Mean 0.9027253668763497

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:yUu92nRgwYwxWjqbpFk6eg==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 4.551781970649951; StDev 185.35370895228573; Max. 9000.0; Valid 2385.0; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:TbKxrsQT2prxv7hy6pn2Vw==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Valid 2385.0; Max. 1000.0; Mean 1.112368972746333; StDev 28.28910464724881;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:zpZz2r3yRAdVIIjJ0jk3PQ==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 900.0; StDev 18.42885350501852; Mean 0.37735849056602966; Valid 2385.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:u8/62RnFBTkgSVxK5Bo9oQ==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 62.05313878883231; Valid 182.0; Max. 325.79998779296875; Mean 32.84807555459356; Min. 0.20499342679977417;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:DuWGfT7ISrkFr7yi3DvFLA==

f4892596 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 5.786283493041992; StDev 0.8424202997629464; Valid 1775.0; Mean 0.19984847920671717; Min. -1.5847773551940918;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:r9nh+l/Y52mg1tqyfYDtKg==

Label:

replication_main.do

application/x-stata-syntax