71 to 80 of 344 Results
Dec 18, 2019
McKibben, Heather Elko; Taylor, Timothy W., 2019, "Trade Balance and Policy Complexity: Explaining Political Elites' Focus on International Trade at the Domestic Level", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/VATWRC, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:F8HFNDE8viiVczvcre2vpQ== [fileUNF]
The attention international trade receives at the domestic level varies widely across countries as well as among political elites within the same country. When and why are political elites likely to dedicate attention to this issue, and what is the policy position on which they are likely to focus when doing so? We argue that political elites are m... |
Dec 18, 2019
Dean, Adam; Obert, Jonathan, 2019, "Shocked into Service: Free Trade and the American South's Military Burden", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/YTTDWH, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:oQRMjBB/rFr4njw1bHoNeg== [fileUNF]
Free trade has gradually shifted the burden of military service onto the American South. While trade shocks generally lead to local increases in US Army enlistment, there are two different regional dynamics that concentrate this effect in the South. First, trade-related job losses are disproportionately concentrated in this region, where manufactur... |
Dec 18, 2019
Ryou-Ellison, Hayoun Jessie; Gold, Aaron, 2019, "Moral Hazard at Sea: How Alliances Actually Increase Low-Level Maritime Provocations between Allies", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/LFD6QA, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:KwtjY4oJ4y+7IZjIgqlSMg== [fileUNF]
The management of maritime claims is becoming an important issue in the study of interstate conflict. Since World War II, most contested maritime claims have been associated with low-level conflict; mainly shows of force or what we call maritime provocations, and have not resulted in fatalities. However, what is puzzling is that many competing clai... |
Dec 18, 2019
Carter, Erin Baggott, 2019, "Diversionary Cheap Talk: Economic Conditions and US Foreign Policy Rhetoric, 1945-2010", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/8XUKIH, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:vOgd8vB+Z27CcT2EBSpo6w== [fileUNF]
This study explains how the economy affects the foreign policy rhetoric used by American presidents. When economic conditions deteriorate, presidents criticize foreign nations to boost their approval ratings. Presidents use this "diversionary cheap talk" in response to the misery index of unemployment plus inflation, which poses a unique threat to... |
Dec 18, 2019
Foster, Dennis; Keller, Jonathan, 2019, "Single-Party Government, Prime Minister Psychology, and the Diversionary Use of Force: Theory and Evidence from the British Case", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/FZYSKO, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:lUbjSkE/xxfKjumPGJZxhw== [fileUNF]
This paper develops expectations about the likelihood of diversionary conflict initiation by parliamentary democracies with single-party majoritarian (SPM) governments. While most of the literature on diversion and governmental arrangement claims that SPMs have little incentive and/or limited capacity to execute diversionary gambits, we contend tha... |
Dec 11, 2019
Pechenkina, Anna, 2019, "Third-Party Pressure for Peace", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/S9GCJV, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:SCPuzQszMlCAWVZ1x4kG7w== [fileUNF]
Third-party pressure for peace is any threat issued or any penalty applied towards one or both sides of the warring dyad with an intention to halt hostilities. Some studies find that pressure shortens peace, while others conclude that it has no effect. This paper advances our understanding of how outside pressure affects peace by differentiating th... |
Nov 27, 2019
Tschantret, Joshua, 2019, "The Old Terrorism: A Dataset, 1860—1969", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/WFBJC9, Harvard Dataverse, V2, UNF:6:iVuvRFlOMGDCrzCkP/MfRw== [fileUNF]
Since the 9/11 terrorist attacks, research on terrorism has grown exponentially. Data limitations, however, have made temporal generalization difficult. Most terrorism datasets extend back only to the 1970s, which inhibits the ability to quantitatively examine earlier waves of terrorism. To address this limitation, this article presents a dataset o... |
Aug 12, 2019
Shamaileh, Ammar, 2019, "Never out of Now: Preference Falsification, Social Capital and the Arab Spring", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/X9V201, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:9o5jQ7TSMtt0Wer7UU9ABg== [fileUNF]
Could the Arab Spring have led to a rise in support for authoritarian governments in some states? Discussions of revolutionary diffusion during the Arab Spring focused on whether expressions of discontent spread to different states. Such discussions, however, neglect the potential for there to be a decrease in expressions of discontent in the wake... |
Jul 22, 2019
Fjelstul, Joshua C.; Reiter, Dan, 2019, "Explaining Incompleteness and Conditionality in Alliance Agreements", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/TEUYAS, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:1K2YWygSd5F8ODI5+sj0ug== [fileUNF]
This paper builds on the existing proposition that audience-cost averse states, such as audience cost-averse states do not equally prefer all types of conditions, but rather these states are especially motivated to demand conditions that make the agreement more incomplete. The reason is that conditions that make the agreement more incomplete make i... |
Jul 22, 2019
Bae, Joonbum, 2019, "International Conflict, Military Rule, and Violent Authoritarian Breakdown", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/215S5X, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:f7OBR3w7Sj9EyX/F3Kk9qg== [fileUNF]
Why do some transitions of power from military rule occur violently while others do not? What effect, if any, does the international security environment have on how violent breakdowns of authoritarian rule are? I argue a conflict-prone security environment ameliorates the commitment problem by ensuring an influential role for the military out of p... |